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Friday December 15th, 2017

This Bulletin Valid Until: Sunday December 17th, 2017 @ 6 pm. 

 

DANGER RATINGS (Make sure you understand the danger level meanings)
 
Outlook Friday Saturday Sunday
AlpineLOWMODERATEMODERATE
TreelineLOWMODERATELOW
Below TreelineLOWLOWLOW

 

Confidence: Moderate - Sparse alpine data 

Main Concerns: (Avalanche problems)

Wind Slab -  New snow at higher elevations over the weekend combined with moderate winds from westerly directions could possibly produce large slab avalanches in wind loaded pockets in the alpine and at treeline ridge tops.

Loose Wet - Rising freezing levels in the afternoon have the potential to produce small loose wet avalanches from steep solar slopes. These small slides would be most likely at treeline elevations.

Travel/Terrain Advice:  New snow and wind load on the old snow surface and how well that new load is bonding to that surface will be the question this weekend. Use caution when changing aspects and elevation bands and be aware of any loaded slopes, especially if there is a crust under that load. Take note if temperatures begin to rise in the afternoon as that may increase the load on the slope.

Past Weather: A large high pressure ridge has dominated the the province for the last several days producing a very stable weather pattern with little to no precipitation, light to moderate SE through SW winds and temperatures ranging from -5oC to +15oCFreezing levels throughout this period have been unseasonably high.

Avalanche Summary: No new avalanches observed.

Snow Pack Description:  

Surface - Crust forming overnight from cooling but becoming moist and unsupportive in the afternoon on all aspects and elevations. 

Upper - Snow is beginning to warm, continues to settle and bond to rain crusts that were formed and buried in November.

Mid - Well settled.

Lower - Well settled.

Weather Forecast: A change is in the air for BC. A Pacific warm front will reach the BC coast by Saturday bringing with it moderate precipitation and light to moderate winds in a westerly flow. Mixing of lower layers of atmosphere should mean a reprieve from the fog and temperature inversion. 

Fri - 0.5-7 mm of precipitationWinds light to moderate W to NW

Freezing levels of 480-2000 m

Sat - 8-25 mm of precipitation. Winds light to moderate NW to SW                      

Freezing levels of 700-2200 m

Sun - 2-10 mm of precipitation.  Winds light to moderate WSW

Freezing levels of 750-2200 m

 

Prepared by Dan Goodwin

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